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Qual 572025 ONT District North Bay Event
Red55
959219.5
133419.8
873116.5
Blue95
747640.7
201311.6
685921.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70880204060801001201405595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
31Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
6Foul points6
55Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#27
19.81.2
21.0→19.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
blue by 20.9
7476
#11
40.71.0
38.2→39.2
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
Second
9592
#25
19.51.0
20.7→19.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
blue by 1.8
6859
#8
21.21.0
20.2→21.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
Third
8731
#22
16.51.0
15.9→14.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 4.9
2013
#32
11.61.2
10.4→11.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned