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Red115
686531.6
28836.8
872927.0
Blue120
293552.9
958912.1
131040.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110680120140115120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+3
Endgame+7
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
80Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points0
115Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#13
36.81.7
33.134.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End4.3
blue by 16.2
52.91.7
48.750.4
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
Second
6865
#14
31.62.1
29.031.1
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
blue by 8.8
40.31.7
36.438.1
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
Third
8729
#23
27.01.7
25.727.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End1.1
red by 14.9
9589
#29
12.11.7
9.511.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned