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Red111
1046411.9
494676.5
686415.8
Blue88
270627.5
406941.2
808128.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310705015020025011188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points29
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
71Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
111Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.9
72.373.2
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
red by 35.3
41.20.5
40.740.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
Second
6864
#24
15.80.9
14.915.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 12.2
8081
#16
28.00.6
28.227.6
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Third
11.90.9
10.411.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 15.5
2706
#28
27.50.5
26.926.4
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed