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Red114
912729.3
698719.2
540982.6
Blue74
685921.2
873116.5
775718.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15250010020025011474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
71Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points10
114Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.61.8
82.180.3
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
red by 61.4
21.20.1
21.221.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
Second
9127
#12
29.31.8
30.728.9
Auto7.3
Teleop20.8
End1.2
red by 11.1
7757
#31
18.20.1
18.318.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Third
6987
#19
19.21.8
17.615.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 2.7
8731
#22
16.50.1
14.914.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed