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Red145
77115.6
86549.8
28836.8
Blue177
61059.0
747640.7
131040.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9815750200145177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
22Coral scored#25
80Coral points90
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
104Total teleop126
Reef
12L4#7
6L3#9
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points6
145Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
49.82.4
45.748.1
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
blue by 9.1
610
#1
59.01.7
53.955.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
Second
288
#13
36.82.4
34.837.2
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End4.3
blue by 4.0
7476
#11
40.71.7
39.240.9
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
Third
771
#30
15.62.4
12.314.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 24.7
40.31.7
38.139.8
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned