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Red183
494676.5
61059.0
698719.2
Blue87
28836.8
270828.9
686531.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661035015020018387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+94Teleop
+110Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave3
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points6
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points44
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
24Processor points6
20Net points4
44Algae points10
113Total teleop54
Reef
12L4#4
5L3#2
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#15
BargeRed +16
26Cage & park10
26Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points14
183Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.9
73.174.0
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
red by 39.8
288
#13
36.80.6
37.236.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Second
610
#1
59.00.9
55.656.5
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
red by 27.4
6865
#14
31.60.6
32.031.4
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
Third
6987
#19
19.20.9
15.816.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 9.7
2708
#17
28.90.6
29.328.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8