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Red168
540982.6
415261.8
375622.6
Blue114
808128.0
24438.4
912729.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1859650150200250168114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
24Coral scored#14
85Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
119Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#6
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points2
168Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.2
80.380.5
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
red by 44.2
244
#15
38.40.4
38.138.5
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End5.1
Second
61.80.2
59.559.6
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
red by 32.6
9127
#12
29.30.4
28.929.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.8
End1.2
Third
3756
#26
22.60.2
20.220.4
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 5.4
8081
#16
28.00.4
27.628.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End3.4