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Red135
293552.9
873116.5
86549.8
Blue64
747640.7
872927.0
130526.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261045015020013564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+45Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points7
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
72Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#3
8L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
135Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.5
51.251.7
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
red by 12.2
7476
#11
40.70.7
40.940.2
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
Second
865
#7
49.80.5
48.148.6
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
red by 22.9
8729
#23
27.00.7
27.126.5
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Third
8731
#22
16.50.5
14.815.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 10.3
1305
#10
26.80.7
27.026.3
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8