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Red127
406941.2
131040.3
77115.6
Blue121
747640.7
872927.0
130526.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081078090100120130140150127121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#18
49Coral points66
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
83Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#8
8L3#8
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
127Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.6
40.941.5
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
red by 0.5
7476
#11
40.70.4
40.340.7
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
Second
40.30.6
40.040.6
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
red by 13.4
8729
#23
27.00.4
26.527.0
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Third
771
#30
15.60.6
15.015.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 11.2
1305
#10
26.80.4
26.426.8
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8