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Red133
293552.9
873116.5
86549.8
Blue86
28836.8
270828.9
686531.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125105608014016018020013386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#11
64Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
82Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
133Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.4
51.752.1
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
red by 16.2
288
#13
36.80.3
37.036.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Second
865
#7
49.80.4
48.649.0
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
red by 18.3
6865
#14
31.60.3
31.831.6
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
Third
8731
#22
16.50.4
15.315.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 12.4
2708
#17
28.90.3
29.228.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8