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Red164
888460.9
873116.7
447670.3
Blue118
540645.2
285223.3
490753.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159120100150200250164118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+44Teleop
+32Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points23
37Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +36
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points59
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
109Total teleop73
Reef
14L4#10
6L3#4
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
14Foul points0
164Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.1
70.270.3
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 17.3
53.00.1
53.153.0
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
60.90.1
60.960.9
Auto12.9
Teleop41.8
End6.1
red by 15.7
45.20.1
45.245.2
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
Third
8731
#26
16.70.1
16.616.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 6.6
2852
#31
23.30.1
23.323.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3