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Red65
872926.9
587025.6
873116.7
Blue44
906224.9
503129.4
219819.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74650501001506544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points1
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +43
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points6
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
55Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points18
65Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#11
26.90.2
25.725.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
blue by 2.4
5031
#14
29.42.1
20.318.2
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
Second
5870
#12
25.60.1
20.020.1
Auto3.1
Teleop21.0
End1.5
red by 0.7
9062
#13
24.92.1
21.519.4
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.9
Third
8731
#26
16.70.2
17.417.6
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 2.5
2198
#19
19.22.1
15.113.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed