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Red94
958020.1
790238.6
285223.3
Blue105
771222.9
834922.4
270823.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716520408010012094105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
71Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points20
94Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.61.2
22.223.5
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 15.1
23.51.4
19.520.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Second
2852
#31
23.31.2
24.325.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 0.4
7712
#10
22.90.8
21.822.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End3.9
Third
9580
#21
20.11.2
16.918.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
blue by 2.3
8349
#16
22.40.8
16.117.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned