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Red43
686418.2
956922.0
559611.4
Blue53
540645.2
720028.9
1046412.0
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64922040801001201404353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
0Processor points0
12Net points12
12Algae points12
32Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points8
43Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9569
#22
22.01.0
19.918.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1
blue by 23.2
45.23.7
36.733.0
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
Second
6864
#24
18.21.7
21.119.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
blue by 10.7
7200
#15
28.92.2
23.421.2
Auto3.3
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Third
5596
#29
11.41.7
17.515.8
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 0.6
12.02.2
11.914.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned