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Red82
503129.4
447670.3
559611.4
Blue78
686418.2
540645.2
95896.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996602040801201408278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+14Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
53Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
82Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.4
53.352.9
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 25.1
45.20.9
33.033.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
Second
5031
#14
29.40.4
18.217.9
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
red by 11.2
6864
#24
18.20.9
19.420.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Third
5596
#29
11.40.6
15.815.2
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
red by 4.8
9589
#28
6.60.9
11.512.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned