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Red129
906224.9
748045.9
876428.2
Blue31
959215.1
354315.9
1046412.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9043020608010012014012931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+90Teleop
+90Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +73
12Coral scored#3
43Coral points12
3Processor algae#0
7Net algae#1
18Processor points0
28Net points4
46Algae points4
89Total teleop16
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
8Foul points0
129Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.92.4
32.034.4
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 30.0
3543
#30
15.92.1
16.013.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Second
28.24.0
24.228.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
red by 13.1
9592
#18
15.12.1
12.110.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Third
9062
#13
24.92.4
19.421.9
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.9
red by 12.9
12.02.1
14.112.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed