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Red113
790238.6
872926.9
748045.9
Blue92
219819.2
447670.3
559611.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009060708011012013014011392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
81Total teleop56
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
113Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.7
34.436.1
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
blue by 24.3
70.30.6
52.953.5
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
38.61.7
25.827.5
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 19.4
2198
#19
19.20.6
12.813.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Third
8729
#11
26.92.8
27.630.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
red by 15.6
5596
#29
11.41.0
15.216.2
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed