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Red66
587025.6
1027912.0
876428.2
Blue78
270823.5
540645.2
1001514.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76840501001502002503006678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
52Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points0
66Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.8
28.326.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
blue by 16.9
45.20.1
33.933.8
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
Second
5870
#12
25.61.1
22.521.4
Auto3.1
Teleop21.0
End1.5
red by 2.1
23.50.1
20.620.4
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Third
12.01.8
19.617.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 2.5
14.50.1
19.519.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed