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Red26
834922.4
285223.3
1046412.0
Blue120
888460.9
686418.2
906224.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56100015026120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+82
Endgame+94
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave9
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +55
4Coral scored#15
14Coral points53
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
18Total teleop73
Reef
1L4#9
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points0
26Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#31
23.32.6
26.624.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
blue by 37.6
60.91.7
44.746.4
Auto12.9
Teleop41.8
End6.1
Second
8349
#16
22.42.6
16.814.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
blue by 2.5
9062
#13
24.91.7
21.923.6
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.9
Third
12.04.3
12.07.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 6.2
6864
#24
18.22.8
20.323.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned