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Red28
219819.2
95896.6
873116.7
Blue76
503129.4
685917.3
491744.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419002060801001201401602876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +42
4Coral scored#12
16Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
16Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
2Foul points2
28Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2198
#19
19.21.1
13.412.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 25.2
44.40.3
37.036.6
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
Second
8731
#26
16.71.9
17.315.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 12.7
5031
#14
29.40.2
17.917.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
Third
9589
#28
6.61.9
12.410.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 10.8
6859
#27
17.30.3
22.221.9
Auto2.3
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed