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Red25
354315.9
1001514.5
1027912.0
Blue165
447670.3
720028.9
790238.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47121010015025165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+120
Endgame+140
Fouls+140
AutonomousBlue +23
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +97
3Coral scored#18
10Coral points65
0Processor algae#3
0Net algae#6
0Processor points18
0Net points24
0Algae points42
10Total teleop107
Reef
1L4#11
1L3#8
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +140
0Foul points0
25Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3543
#30
15.92.7
12.29.5
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 54.3
70.34.2
53.557.7
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
14.51.6
19.517.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 24.1
38.64.2
27.531.7
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Third
12.02.7
17.815.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 16.9
7200
#15
28.94.2
20.825.0
Auto3.3
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned