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Red52
559611.4
959215.1
748045.9
Blue75
540645.2
958020.1
587025.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628320401001201405275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
39Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
52Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.6
36.135.5
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 0.8
45.20.1
33.833.7
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
Second
9592
#18
15.10.9
8.17.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 10.4
5870
#12
25.60.1
21.421.3
Auto3.1
Teleop21.0
End1.5
Third
5596
#29
11.40.9
16.215.3
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 8.7
9580
#21
20.10.1
20.620.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed