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Red184
490753.0
834922.4
503129.4
Blue155
686418.2
876428.2
888460.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79111204060100120140160180184155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+39Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +39
23Coral scored#23
84Coral points83
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#1
18Processor points12
36Net points4
54Algae points16
138Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#9
9L3#6
7L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
184Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.09.4
42.251.6
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
blue by 7.9
60.92.3
46.448.8
Auto12.9
Teleop41.8
End6.1
Second
5031
#14
29.45.7
17.723.3
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
red by 1.1
28.23.9
26.530.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Third
8349
#16
22.45.7
14.219.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
red by 4.2
6864
#24
18.23.9
23.127.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned