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Red41
873116.7
285223.3
270823.5
Blue58
956922.0
906224.9
872926.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6283020401001201404158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +12
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
24Total teleop36
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points12
41Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.52.3
20.418.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
blue by 3.5
8729
#11
26.93.0
30.427.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
Second
2852
#31
23.31.4
24.022.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
blue by 1.6
9062
#13
24.91.8
23.621.8
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.9
Third
8731
#26
16.72.3
15.413.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 5.3
9569
#22
22.01.8
18.917.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed