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Red90
834922.4
906224.9
491744.4
Blue70
876428.2
872926.9
1027912.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948440601201401609070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points23
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
64Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points12
90Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.7
36.637.4
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
red by 16.2
28.22.3
30.328.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Second
9062
#13
24.90.4
21.822.2
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.9
blue by 2.0
8729
#11
26.92.3
27.425.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
Third
8349
#16
22.40.4
19.920.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
red by 10.4
12.02.3
15.112.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned