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Red40
686418.2
1001514.5
503624.6
Blue61
559611.4
270823.5
790238.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84702040601001201401604061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +21
3Coral scored#8
10Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
14Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
40Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#17
24.62.1
26.924.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
blue by 13.9
38.60.3
31.731.4
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Second
6864
#24
18.23.5
27.023.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
blue by 5.3
23.50.5
18.117.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Third
14.52.1
17.815.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End3.0
red by 3.1
5596
#29
11.40.5
15.314.8
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned