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Red52
285223.3
354315.9
958020.1
Blue71
95896.6
503129.4
587025.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5455204060801005271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
41Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
52Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#31
23.30.0
22.622.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
blue by 6.1
5031
#14
29.41.3
23.324.6
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
Second
9580
#21
20.10.0
20.520.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
blue by 5.5
5870
#12
25.61.3
22.523.8
Auto3.1
Teleop21.0
End1.5
Third
3543
#30
15.90.1
9.59.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
red by 9.4
9589
#28
6.62.2
5.67.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed