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Red59
503624.6
219819.2
771222.9
Blue28
1046412.0
95896.6
958020.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions713702060801001201405928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto7
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#5
32Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
38Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points2
59Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#17
24.60.2
24.824.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 4.6
9580
#21
20.10.7
20.519.8
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Second
7712
#10
22.90.2
21.721.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End3.9
red by 10.9
12.01.2
8.67.4
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
2198
#19
19.20.2
15.315.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
red by 12.6
9589
#28
6.61.2
7.86.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed