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Red24
559611.4
1027912.0
834922.4
Blue63
790238.6
873116.7
956922.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51700204060801001202463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +27
2Coral scored#7
8Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
12Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points0
24Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8349
#16
22.41.9
20.318.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
blue by 16.2
38.60.1
31.431.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Second
12.03.2
12.79.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 10.0
9569
#22
22.00.1
17.817.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Third
5596
#29
11.43.2
14.811.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 5.3
8731
#26
16.70.2
12.012.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned