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Red63
876428.2
285223.3
1001514.5
Blue125
748045.9
354315.9
540645.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71902040608010012014063125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+60
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +53
6Coral scored#15
21Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
0Processor points12
12Net points20
12Algae points32
33Total teleop86
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#6
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
63Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.0
28.027.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
blue by 17.7
45.92.7
34.837.5
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Second
2852
#31
23.30.6
22.622.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
blue by 21.9
45.24.5
34.939.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
Third
14.50.6
15.715.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 1.4
3543
#30
15.94.5
9.413.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned