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Red110
447670.3
958020.1
834922.4
Blue103
1046412.0
491744.4
956922.0
97%Model gave it3%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115550100150200110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
76Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
110Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.4
60.761.1
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 25.9
44.44.7
32.937.5
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
Second
8349
#16
22.40.4
18.418.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
red by 0.4
9569
#22
22.02.8
17.920.8
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Third
9580
#21
20.10.4
19.820.2
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
red by 8.1
12.04.7
7.412.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned