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Red76
587025.6
906224.9
686418.2
Blue65
873116.7
790238.6
503624.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7474666870727678807665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+9Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +13
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
59Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
76Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5870
#12
25.60.2
23.824.0
Auto3.1
Teleop21.0
End1.5
blue by 13.0
38.60.2
31.631.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Second
9062
#13
24.90.2
24.424.6
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.9
red by 0.3
5036
#17
24.60.2
24.624.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
Third
6864
#24
18.20.3
19.019.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
red by 1.5
8731
#26
16.70.4
12.211.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsMissed