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Red30
270823.5
219819.2
685917.3
Blue105
876428.2
490753.0
540645.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52144010020025030105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+35
Endgame+57
Fouls+75
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +35
4Coral scored#12
15Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
19Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points18
30Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.52.9
20.117.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
blue by 29.5
53.03.5
52.248.7
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
2198
#19
19.21.7
15.113.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 26.0
45.23.5
39.535.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
Third
6859
#27
17.32.9
20.717.8
Auto2.3
Teleop13.4
End1.7
blue by 10.9
28.23.5
27.023.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned