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Red47
1001514.5
959215.1
720028.9
Blue20
285223.3
771222.9
872926.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5777020401001201404720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+21Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +12
6Coral scored#3
23Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
29Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#5
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
47Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#15
28.90.6
28.427.8
Auto3.3
Teleop21.7
End3.9
red by 1.9
8729
#11
26.95.7
28.122.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
Second
9592
#18
15.11.0
12.111.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 8.1
2852
#31
23.33.4
22.018.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Third
14.50.6
15.114.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 8.4
7712
#10
22.93.4
21.518.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed