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Red90
503129.4
873116.7
720028.9
Blue160
285223.3
447670.3
748045.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6513205010015020090160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+82
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave0
2Coral scored#9
9Coral points44
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +47
13Coral scored#24
45Coral points86
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
63Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#15
4L3#8
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
2Foul points2
90Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#14
29.40.3
28.929.3
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
blue by 40.9
70.31.6
61.162.7
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
7200
#15
28.90.3
27.828.2
Auto3.3
Teleop21.7
End3.9
blue by 17.1
45.91.6
40.442.0
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Third
8731
#26
16.70.5
11.812.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 6.6
2852
#31
23.31.6
18.520.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed