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Red103
906224.9
490753.0
958020.1
Blue52
491744.4
559611.4
95896.6
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10654015010352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +31
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
66Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
12Foul points0
103Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.3
48.748.4
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
red by 8.6
44.40.8
37.536.8
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
Second
9062
#13
24.90.2
24.624.5
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.9
red by 13.5
5596
#29
11.40.8
13.612.9
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
9580
#21
20.10.2
20.220.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
red by 13.5
9589
#28
6.60.7
8.17.3
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned