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Red106
1027912.0
771222.9
888460.9
Blue28
872926.9
686418.2
354315.9
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10060020408012014016010628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+70Teleop
+80Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
13Coral scored#4
47Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
65Total teleop13
Reef
6L4#1
6L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points2
106Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.91.3
54.555.7
Auto12.9
Teleop41.8
End6.1
red by 34.0
8729
#11
26.93.3
22.419.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
Second
7712
#10
22.91.3
18.019.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End3.9
red by 4.7
6864
#24
18.23.3
19.316.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Third
12.02.0
14.316.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 3.9
3543
#30
15.93.3
15.912.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed