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Red68
1046412.0
270823.5
587025.6
Blue39
685917.3
834922.4
959215.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595302040801006839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+21Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
48Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
8Foul points0
68Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5870
#12
25.60.2
24.023.7
Auto3.1
Teleop21.0
End1.5
red by 3.2
8349
#16
22.41.4
18.817.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Second
23.50.4
17.216.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
red by 6.1
6859
#27
17.32.2
17.815.7
Auto2.3
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Third
12.00.4
12.111.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 3.2
9592
#18
15.12.2
11.29.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed