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Red70
95896.6
219819.2
790238.6
Blue51
956922.0
503624.6
876428.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5481020401001201407051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+21Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
46Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
70Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.9
31.332.2
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 10.3
28.22.4
23.521.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Second
2198
#19
19.20.9
13.414.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 5.4
5036
#17
24.61.6
24.422.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
Third
9589
#28
6.61.5
6.68.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 15.4
9569
#22
22.01.6
20.819.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned