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Red126
447670.3
685917.3
540645.2
Blue27
873116.7
1027912.0
686418.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1353605010015020012627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+91Teleop
+99Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
14Coral scored#3
51Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
75Total teleop12
Reef
8L4#1
6L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
0Foul points0
126Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.6
62.763.3
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 52.1
6864
#24
18.22.0
16.014.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Second
45.20.8
36.737.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
red by 28.5
8731
#26
16.72.0
12.310.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Third
6859
#27
17.30.8
15.716.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 5.4
12.02.0
16.314.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed