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Red95
491744.4
876428.2
959215.1
Blue92
503129.4
285223.3
720028.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74930501502009592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
60Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points2
95Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.42.0
36.838.8
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
red by 15.0
5031
#14
29.40.4
29.329.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
Second
28.22.0
21.023.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
blue by 0.6
7200
#15
28.90.4
28.228.6
Auto3.3
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Third
9592
#18
15.12.0
9.011.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 8.1
2852
#31
23.30.4
20.220.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed