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Red112
958020.1
748045.9
956922.0
Blue114
906224.9
790238.6
959215.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947020406080120140160112114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
12Processor points18
24Net points12
36Algae points30
96Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
112Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.9
42.042.9
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 7.4
38.61.9
32.234.1
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Second
9569
#22
22.00.9
20.221.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1
blue by 2.9
9062
#13
24.91.9
24.226.1
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.9
Third
9580
#21
20.10.9
20.021.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
red by 4.9
9592
#18
15.12.5
11.013.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed