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Red158
491744.4
790238.6
540645.2
Blue58
285223.3
686418.2
685917.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13044010015020015858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+70Teleop
+94Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
88Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#14
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
6Foul points0
158Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.23.7
37.541.2
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
red by 21.9
2852
#31
23.30.5
20.621.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Second
44.43.7
38.842.5
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
red by 26.2
6864
#24
18.20.6
14.014.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Third
38.62.8
34.136.9
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 21.2
6859
#27
17.30.6
16.517.1
Auto2.3
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed