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Red54
958020.1
559611.4
771222.9
Blue139
447670.3
876428.2
270823.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51125010015020054139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+73
Endgame+81
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +52
8Coral scored#17
28Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
34Total teleop86
Reef
2L4#10
3L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
2Foul points6
54Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7712
#10
22.90.0
19.119.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End3.9
blue by 47.4
70.31.9
63.365.2
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
9580
#21
20.10.0
21.021.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
blue by 8.2
28.22.5
23.025.6
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Third
5596
#29
11.40.0
11.811.8
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 12.1
23.52.5
18.120.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned