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Red110
888460.9
1046412.0
503129.4
Blue99
873116.7
490753.0
1001514.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11379406010014016018011099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#12
66Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
84Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points2
110Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.8
57.758.5
Auto12.9
Teleop41.8
End6.1
red by 7.9
53.01.9
49.651.5
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
5031
#14
29.40.8
29.730.5
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
red by 12.7
8731
#26
16.71.9
10.312.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Third
12.01.1
10.611.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 2.5
14.51.4
15.717.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned