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Red114
720028.9
888460.9
873116.7
Blue77
270823.5
1046412.0
503624.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11555010015020011477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+53Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
26Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +42
17Coral scored#6
62Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
82Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#3
9L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
114Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.4
58.558.8
Auto12.9
Teleop41.8
End6.1
red by 36.3
5036
#17
24.60.4
23.724.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
Second
7200
#15
28.90.4
29.129.5
Auto3.3
Teleop21.7
End3.9
red by 5.4
23.50.5
20.621.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Third
8731
#26
16.70.5
12.212.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 4.7
12.00.5
11.712.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned