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Red83
790238.6
876428.2
354315.9
Blue81
490753.0
559611.4
285223.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions879502004006008008381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+20
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points42
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
48Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#20
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
83Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.4
36.937.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
blue by 14.4
53.00.3
51.551.3
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
28.20.5
25.626.1
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
red by 5.0
2852
#31
23.30.2
21.020.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Third
3543
#30
15.90.5
14.715.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
red by 4.5
5596
#29
11.40.3
11.811.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed