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Red90
748045.9
587025.6
685917.3
Blue86
872926.9
834922.4
95896.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1055201509086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points38
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
72Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points10
90Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.4
44.043.6
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 19.0
8729
#11
26.91.2
22.523.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
Second
5870
#12
25.60.4
26.626.1
Auto3.1
Teleop21.0
End1.5
red by 3.2
8349
#16
22.41.0
19.620.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Third
6859
#27
17.30.5
17.116.6
Auto2.3
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 10.8
9589
#28
6.61.2
7.28.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned