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Qual 592025 ONT District Durham College Event
Red77
503624.6
559611.4
503129.4
Blue98
834922.4
956922.0
876428.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758140601001207798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
58Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
4Foul points2
77Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#14
29.40.2
29.1→28.9
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
red by 1.1
8764
#8
28.21.3
26.1→27.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Second
5036
#17
24.60.2
24.2→24.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 2.2
8349
#16
22.41.1
20.6→21.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Third
5596
#29
11.40.2
11.6→11.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 10.6
9569
#22
22.01.1
20.2→21.3
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned