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Red126
270823.5
540645.2
872926.9
Blue116
748045.9
491744.4
219819.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811450100150126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points20
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
80Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
126Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.22.6
40.643.1
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
blue by 0.8
45.90.8
43.644.4
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Second
8729
#11
26.92.6
23.726.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
blue by 17.5
44.40.9
43.044.0
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
Third
23.52.6
21.223.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
red by 4.3
2198
#19
19.20.8
16.817.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned